Chollet：软件工程全面自动化后的四点观察

AI 导读

Chollet 就软件工程"全面"自动化提出四点观察：软件工程师数量比 2025 年更多且需求仍在增长，工程师从未像现在这样高强度工作，代码已基本由智能体编写（约 100%），但采用 AI 的公司的利润底线通常并未因此改变。他认为必须从系统角度思考，自动化系统中某一环节会制造新的摩擦，把瓶颈转移到别处。

正文

Some observations about the "total" automation of software engineering:

1. There are more software engineers now than in 2025, and demand is growing.

2. Software engineers have never worked harder than they do now.

3. They largely don't write code anymore, agents write ~100% of the code.

4. The bottom line of the companies that employs these engineers and agents (i.e. the terminal purpose of all this code) is typically not budging as a result of AI adoption.

This is why you have to think in terms of systems. Automating one aspect of a system creates its own friction and moves the bottlenecks elsewhere.